Maheshate vs Rafa García
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
12-5-0Record19-5-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
6'0"Height5'7"
71"Reach70"
155 lbsWeight155 lbs
Enbo Fight Club· 1687 avg Elo · 8 ratedTeamTeam Elevation
What's at stake
Rafa García is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +12 while a loss costs more — Maheshate carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+20→ 1668
If they lose-12→ 1636
If they win+12→ 1752
If they lose-20→ 1720
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1601 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1694 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
MaheshateRafa García
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Rafa García73%
Maheshate 27%Elo baseline: 63%
The Combat Edge model makes Rafa García a 73% favorite over Maheshate in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (63%).
Rafa García holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1740 to 1648, a 92-point edge.
Maheshate enters on a 2-fight win streak.
Maheshate finishes 58% of wins inside the distance, Rafa García 56%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.