Mairbek Taisumov vs Marcin Bandel
Records, Elo, stats and the Combat Edge model read, side by side.
Combat Edge model read
Mairbek Taisumov68%
Marcin Bandel 32%Elo baseline: 70%
The Combat Edge model makes Mairbek Taisumov a 68% favorite over Marcin Bandel in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (70%).
Mairbek Taisumov holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1752 to 1603, a 149-point edge.
Marcin Bandel enters on a 4-fight loss streak.
Mairbek Taisumov finishes 92% of wins inside the distance, Marcin Bandel 91%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.
Tale of the tape
27-6-0Record22-10-1
LightweightDivisionWelterweight
5'9"Height5'10"
73,0"ReachTBD
155 lbsWeight170 lbs
Team TaisumovTeamZenith Vera Fight Club
What's at stake
Mairbek Taisumov is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +7 while a loss costs more — Marcin Bandel carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+7→ 1759
If they lose-17→ 1735
If they win+17→ 1620
If they lose-7→ 1596
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1644 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1560 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Mairbek TaisumovMarcin Bandel