Mairon Santos vs Muhammad Naimov
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
17-1-0Record13-5-0
FeatherweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'9"Height5'9"
72"Reach70"
145 lbsWeight146 lbs
Parana Vale Tudo· 1661 avg Elo · 6 ratedTeamElevation Fight Team
What's at stake
Mairon Santos is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +12 while a loss costs more — Muhammad Naimov carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+12→ 1769
If they lose-20→ 1737
If they win+20→ 1683
If they lose-12→ 1651
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1584 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1649 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Mairon SantosMuhammad Naimov
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Mairon Santos65%
Muhammad Naimov 35%Elo baseline: 63%
The Combat Edge model makes Mairon Santos a 65% favorite over Muhammad Naimov in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (63%).
Mairon Santos holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1757 to 1663, a 94-point edge.
Mairon Santos enters on a 5-fight win streak.
Muhammad Naimov enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Mairon Santos finishes 53% of wins inside the distance, Muhammad Naimov 62%.
Mairon Santos and Muhammad Naimov share 1 common opponent: Kaan Ofli.
Mairon Santos carries a 2-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.