Mairon Santos vs Muhammad Naimov
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
17-1-0Record13-4-0
FeatherweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'9"Height5'9"
72"Reach70"
145 lbsWeight146 lbs
Parana Vale TudoTeamElevation Fight Team
What's at stake
Mairon Santos is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +13 while a loss costs more — Muhammad Naimov carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+13→ 1769
If they lose-19→ 1737
If they win+19→ 1698
If they lose-13→ 1666
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1582 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1624 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Mairon SantosMuhammad Naimov
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Mairon Santos74%
Muhammad Naimov 26%Elo baseline: 61%
The Combat Edge model makes Mairon Santos a 74% favorite over Muhammad Naimov in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (61%).
Mairon Santos holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1756 to 1679, a 77-point edge.
Mairon Santos enters on a 5-fight win streak.
Mairon Santos finishes 53% of wins inside the distance, Muhammad Naimov 62%.
Mairon Santos and Muhammad Naimov share 1 common opponent: Kaan Ofli.
Mairon Santos carries a 2-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.