Combat Edge Intelligence

Mairon Santos vs Pat Sabatini

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

17-1-0Record22-5-0
FeatherweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'9"Height5'9"
72"Reach70"
145 lbsWeight145 lbs
Parana Vale TudoTeamRenzo Gracie Philly

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Mairon SantosNow 1756
If they win+16→ 1772
If they lose-16→ 1740
Pat SabatiniNow 1762
If they win+12→ 1774
If they lose-12→ 1750

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1582 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1702 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

3.53
Sig. strikes / min
1.69
46%
Strike accuracy
60%
2.38
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
1.09
66%
Strike defense
51%
0
Takedown avg.
4.48
0%
Takedown accuracy
51%
50%
Takedown defense
50%
0
Submission avg.
1.49

Trajectory

Mairon SantosPat Sabatini
17001750202420252026

Win method breakdown

9 (53%)
KO/TKO
2 (9%)
0 (0%)
Submission
12 (55%)
8 (47%)
Decision
8 (36%)

Combat Edge model read

Mairon Santos56%
Pat Sabatini 44%Elo baseline: 49%

The Combat Edge model makes Mairon Santos a 56% favorite over Pat Sabatini in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Pat Sabatini's way (49%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1756 vs 1762), separated by just 6 points.

Mairon Santos enters on a 5-fight win streak.

Pat Sabatini enters on a 4-fight win streak.

Mairon Santos finishes 53% of wins inside the distance, Pat Sabatini 64%.

Mairon Santos carries a 2-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.