Mairon Santos vs Yair Rodriguez
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
17-1-0Record20-5-0
FeatherweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'9"Height5'11"
72"Reach71"
145 lbsWeight145 lbs
Parana Vale Tudo· 1663 avg Elo · 6 ratedTeamValle Flow Striking· 1672 avg Elo · 3 rated
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1772
If they lose-16→ 1740
If they win+16→ 1767
If they lose-16→ 1735
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1582 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1736 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Mairon SantosYair Rodriguez
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Mairon Santos71%
Yair Rodriguez 29%Elo baseline: 51%
The Combat Edge model makes Mairon Santos a 71% favorite over Yair Rodriguez in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (51%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1756 vs 1751), separated by just 5 points.
Mairon Santos enters on a 5-fight win streak.
Mairon Santos finishes 53% of wins inside the distance, Yair Rodriguez 65%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.