Combat Edge Intelligence

Mairon Santos vs Yair Rodriguez

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

17-1-0Record20-5-0
FeatherweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'9"Height5'11"
72"Reach71"
145 lbsWeight145 lbs
Parana Vale TudoTeamValle Flow Striking

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Mairon SantosNow 1756
If they win+16→ 1772
If they lose-16→ 1740
Yair RodriguezNow 1751
If they win+16→ 1767
If they lose-16→ 1735

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1582 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1735 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

3.53
Sig. strikes / min
4.65
46%
Strike accuracy
46%
2.38
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.99
66%
Strike defense
52%
0
Takedown avg.
0.69
0%
Takedown accuracy
27%
50%
Takedown defense
58%
0
Submission avg.
0.69

Trajectory

Mairon SantosYair Rodriguez
17001750202320242025

Win method breakdown

9 (53%)
KO/TKO
8 (40%)
0 (0%)
Submission
5 (25%)
8 (47%)
Decision
7 (35%)

Combat Edge model read

Mairon Santos73%
Yair Rodriguez 27%Elo baseline: 51%

The Combat Edge model makes Mairon Santos a 73% favorite over Yair Rodriguez in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (51%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1756 vs 1751), separated by just 5 points.

Mairon Santos enters on a 5-fight win streak.

Mairon Santos finishes 53% of wins inside the distance, Yair Rodriguez 65%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.