Makwan Amirkhani vs Mike Grundy
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
20-11-0Record12-4-0
LightweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'10"Height5'8"
72"Reach72"
156 lbsWeight145 lbs
SBG IrelandTeamTeam Kaobon Wigan
What's at stake
Mike Grundy is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +14 while a loss costs more — Makwan Amirkhani carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+18→ 1639
If they lose-14→ 1607
If they win+14→ 1670
If they lose-18→ 1638
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1614 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1569 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Makwan AmirkhaniMike Grundy
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Makwan Amirkhani55%
Mike Grundy 45%Elo baseline: 45%
The Combat Edge model makes Makwan Amirkhani a 55% favorite over Mike Grundy in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Mike Grundy's way (45%).
Mike Grundy holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1656 to 1621, a 35-point edge.
Makwan Amirkhani enters on a 3-fight win streak.
Mike Grundy enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Makwan Amirkhani finishes 75% of wins inside the distance, Mike Grundy 75%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.