Malcolm Gordon vs Muhammad Mokaev
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
14-8-0Record16-0-0
BantamweightDivisionFlyweight
5'7"Height5'9"
71"Reach70"
128 lbsWeight125 lbs
Adrenaline Training CenterTeamKHK MMA Team
What's at stake
Muhammad Mokaev is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +7 while a loss costs more — Malcolm Gordon carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+25→ 1614
If they lose-7→ 1582
If they win+7→ 1809
If they lose-25→ 1777
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1605 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1611 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Malcolm GordonMuhammad Mokaev
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Muhammad Mokaev92%
Malcolm Gordon 8%Elo baseline: 77%
The Combat Edge model makes Muhammad Mokaev a 92% favorite over Malcolm Gordon in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (77%).
Muhammad Mokaev holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1802 to 1589, a 213-point edge.
Malcolm Gordon enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Muhammad Mokaev enters on a 10-fight win streak.
Malcolm Gordon finishes 79% of wins inside the distance, Muhammad Mokaev 63%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.