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Combat Edge Intelligence

Malcolm Wellmaker vs Nathan Fletcher

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →

Tale of the tape

10-2-0Record11-3-0
BantamweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'9"Height5'8"
71"Reach 70"
135 lbsWeight145 lbs
Faglier's MMATeamNext Generation MMA Liverpool

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Malcolm WellmakerNow 1658
If they win+16→ 1674
If they lose-16→ 1642
Nathan FletcherNow 1658
If they win+16→ 1674
If they lose-16→ 1642

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1583 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1556 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

4.58
Sig. strikes / min
3.41
55%
Strike accuracy
60%
4.23
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.16
52%
Strike defense
58%
0
Takedown avg.
3.37
0%
Takedown accuracy
31%
47%
Takedown defense
50%
0
Submission avg.
0.67

Trajectory

Malcolm WellmakerNathan Fletcher
16501700202420252026

Win method breakdown

6 (60%)
KO/TKO
2 (18%)
2 (20%)
Submission
7 (64%)
2 (20%)
Decision
2 (18%)

Combat Edge model read

Malcolm Wellmaker56%
Nathan Fletcher 44%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Malcolm Wellmaker a 56% favorite over Nathan Fletcher in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1658 vs 1658), separated by just 0 points.

Malcolm Wellmaker enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Nathan Fletcher enters on a 2-fight win streak.

Malcolm Wellmaker finishes 80% of wins inside the distance, Nathan Fletcher 82%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.