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Combat Edge Intelligence

Mandel Nallo vs Niko Samsonidse

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →
Mandel Nallo
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Mandel Nallo

“Rat Garbage / Mango”

15-4-0LightweightUFC

1654Good

Tale of the tape

15-4-0Record13-4-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
6'0"Height5'11"
75"Reach-
155 lbsWeight155 lbs
Tristar GymTeamSpitfire Gym Berlin· 1612 avg Elo · 9 rated

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Mandel NalloNow 1654
If they win+16→ 1670
If they lose-16→ 1638
Niko SamsonidseNow 1655
If they win+16→ 1671
If they lose-16→ 1639

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1540 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1567 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

8.26
Sig. strikes / min
Not available
58%
Strike accuracy
Not available
5.03
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
Not available
54%
Strike defense
Not available
0
Takedown avg.
Not available
0%
Takedown accuracy
Not available
100%
Takedown defense
Not available
0
Submission avg.
Not available

Trajectory

Mandel NalloNiko Samsonidse
1650202420252026

Win method breakdown

9 (60%)
KO/TKO
5 (38%)
6 (40%)
Submission
7 (54%)
0 (0%)
Decision
1 (8%)

Combat Edge model read

Niko Samsonidse62%
Mandel Nallo 38%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Niko Samsonidse a 62% favorite over Mandel Nallo in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1654 vs 1655), separated by just 1 points.

Mandel Nallo finishes 100% of wins inside the distance, Niko Samsonidse 92%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.