Combat Edge Intelligence

Mandel Nallo vs Rodrigo Lidio

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Mandel Nallo
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Mandel Nallo

“Rat Garbage / Mango”

14-4-0LightweightUFC

1634Solid

Tale of the tape

14-4-0Record14-4-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
6'0"Height5'11"
75"ReachTBD
155 lbsWeight155 lbs
Tristar GymTeamNordeste Jiu-Jitsu

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Mandel NalloNow 1634
If they win+16→ 1650
If they lose-16→ 1618
Rodrigo LidioNow 1635
If they win+16→ 1651
If they lose-16→ 1619

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1524 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1516 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

8.26
Sig. strikes / min
0.97
58%
Strike accuracy
50%
5.03
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
0
54%
Strike defense
100%
0
Takedown avg.
0
0%
Takedown accuracy
TBD
100%
Takedown defense
50%
0
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Mandel NalloRodrigo Lidio
1600165020222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

8 (57%)
KO/TKO
11 (79%)
6 (43%)
Submission
3 (21%)
0 (0%)
Decision
0 (0%)

Combat Edge model read

Mandel Nallo59%
Rodrigo Lidio 41%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Mandel Nallo a 59% favorite over Rodrigo Lidio in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Rodrigo Lidio's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1634 vs 1635), separated by just 1 points.

Mandel Nallo finishes 100% of wins inside the distance, Rodrigo Lidio 100%.

Mandel Nallo and Rodrigo Lidio share 1 common opponent: Samuel Silva.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.

Common opponents (1)

WinKO (Punches) · 2025
Samuel Silva
Loss Decision · 2023