Mando Gutierrez vs Pavel Vitruk
Records, Elo, stats and the Combat Edge model read, side by side.
Combat Edge model read
Pavel Vitruk65%
Mando Gutierrez 35%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Pavel Vitruk a 65% favorite over Mando Gutierrez in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Mando Gutierrez's way (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1631 vs 1628), separated by just 3 points.
Pavel Vitruk enters on a 4-fight loss streak.
Mando Gutierrez finishes 89% of wins inside the distance, Pavel Vitruk 32%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.
Tale of the tape
9-3-0Record19-10-1
BantamweightDivisionBantamweight
5'6"Height5'5"
TBDReach-
135 lbsWeight135 lbs
Murcielago MMA· 1667 avg Elo · 6 ratedTeamRaty Team· 1674 avg Elo · 14 rated
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1647
If they lose-16→ 1615
If they win+12→ 1640
If they lose-12→ 1616
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1553 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1612 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Mando GutierrezPavel Vitruk