Manel Kape vs Muhammad Mokaev
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
23-7-0Record16-0-0
FlyweightDivisionFlyweight
5'6"Height5'9"
68"Reach70"
125 lbsWeight125 lbs
AKA ThailandTeamKHK MMA Team
What's at stake
Muhammad Mokaev is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +14 while a loss costs more — Manel Kape carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+18→ 1768
If they lose-14→ 1736
If they win+14→ 1816
If they lose-18→ 1784
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1698 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1611 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Manel KapeMuhammad Mokaev
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Muhammad Mokaev53%
Manel Kape 47%Elo baseline: 57%
The Combat Edge model makes Muhammad Mokaev a 53% favorite over Manel Kape in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (57%).
Muhammad Mokaev holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1802 to 1750, a 52-point edge.
Manel Kape enters on a 4-fight win streak.
Muhammad Mokaev enters on a 10-fight win streak.
Manel Kape finishes 87% of wins inside the distance, Muhammad Mokaev 63%.
Muhammad Mokaev carries a 2-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.