Combat Edge Intelligence

Manel Kape vs Nate Maness

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Manel Kape
ao

Manel Kape

“Starboy”

23-7-0FlyweightUFC

1750Great

Tale of the tape

23-7-0Record16-3-0
FlyweightDivisionFlyweight
5'6"Height5'10"
68"Reach72"
125 lbsWeight125 lbs
AKA ThailandTeamSalvation Mixed Martial Arts

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Manel KapeNow 1750
If they win+15→ 1765
If they lose-17→ 1733
Nate ManessNow 1736
If they win+17→ 1753
If they lose-15→ 1721

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1698 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1659 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

4.68
Sig. strikes / min
3.14
55%
Strike accuracy
50%
3.88
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.88
57%
Strike defense
43%
0.36
Takedown avg.
0.68
20%
Takedown accuracy
75%
79%
Takedown defense
80%
0.24
Submission avg.
0.68

Trajectory

Manel KapeNate Maness
16501700175020222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

15 (65%)
KO/TKO
6 (38%)
5 (22%)
Submission
3 (19%)
3 (13%)
Decision
7 (44%)

Combat Edge model read

Manel Kape75%
Nate Maness 25%Elo baseline: 52%

The Combat Edge model makes Manel Kape a 75% favorite over Nate Maness in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (52%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1750 vs 1736), separated by just 14 points.

Manel Kape enters on a 4-fight win streak.

Nate Maness enters on a 2-fight win streak.

Manel Kape finishes 87% of wins inside the distance, Nate Maness 56%.

Nate Maness carries a 4-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.