Manel Kape vs Rei Tsuruya
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
23-7-0Record12-1-0
FlyweightDivisionFlyweight
5'6"Height5'7"
68"Reach68"
125 lbsWeight126 lbs
AKA ThailandTeamThe Blackbelt Japan· 1645 avg Elo · 7 rated
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1768
If they lose-16→ 1736
If they win+16→ 1772
If they lose-16→ 1740
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1698 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1622 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Manel KapeRei Tsuruya
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Manel Kape53%
Rei Tsuruya 47%Elo baseline: 49%
The Combat Edge model makes Manel Kape a 53% favorite over Rei Tsuruya in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Rei Tsuruya's way (49%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1752 vs 1756), separated by just 4 points.
Manel Kape enters on a 4-fight win streak.
Rei Tsuruya enters on a 2-fight win streak.
Manel Kape finishes 87% of wins inside the distance, Rei Tsuruya 83%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.