Combat Edge Intelligence

Manel Kape vs Sergio Pettis

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Manel Kape
ao

Manel Kape

“Starboy”

23-7-0FlyweightUFC

1750Great

Tale of the tape

23-7-0Record25-8-0
FlyweightDivisionBantamweight
5'6"Height5'6"
68"Reach69"
125 lbsWeight134 lbs
AKA ThailandTeamRoufusport

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Manel KapeNow 1750
If they win+16→ 1766
If they lose-16→ 1734
Sergio PettisNow 1752
If they win+12→ 1764
If they lose-12→ 1740

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1698 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1717 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

4.68
Sig. strikes / min
3.88
55%
Strike accuracy
37%
3.88
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.91
57%
Strike defense
65%
0.36
Takedown avg.
0.85
20%
Takedown accuracy
40%
79%
Takedown defense
68%
0.24
Submission avg.
0.36

Trajectory

Manel KapeSergio Pettis
165017001750202420252026

Win method breakdown

15 (65%)
KO/TKO
5 (20%)
5 (22%)
Submission
4 (16%)
3 (13%)
Decision
16 (64%)

Combat Edge model read

The Combat Edge model rates this a near coin-flip, splitting Manel Kape and Sergio Pettis within a point of even.

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1750 vs 1752), separated by just 2 points.

Manel Kape enters on a 4-fight win streak.

Manel Kape finishes 87% of wins inside the distance, Sergio Pettis 36%.

Manel Kape and Sergio Pettis share 1 common opponent: Kyoji Horiguchi.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.

Common opponents (1)

WinTKO · 2026
Kyoji Horiguchi
LossDecision (Unanimous) · 2024
WinKO (spinning backfist) · 2021