Manel Kape vs Tagir Ulanbekov
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
23-7-0Record17-3-0
FlyweightDivisionFlyweight
5'6"Height5'7"
68"Reach70"
125 lbsWeight125 lbs
AKA ThailandTeamEagles MMA
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1766
If they lose-16→ 1734
If they win+16→ 1756
If they lose-16→ 1724
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1698 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1642 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Manel KapeTagir Ulanbekov
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Manel Kape64%
Tagir Ulanbekov 36%Elo baseline: 51%
The Combat Edge model makes Manel Kape a 64% favorite over Tagir Ulanbekov in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (51%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1750 vs 1740), separated by just 10 points.
Manel Kape enters on a 4-fight win streak.
Manel Kape finishes 87% of wins inside the distance, Tagir Ulanbekov 53%.
Manel Kape and Tagir Ulanbekov share 2 common opponents: Kyoji Horiguchi and Bruno Silva.
Tagir Ulanbekov carries a 2-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.