Manoel Sousa vs Mehdi Baydulaev
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
15-1-0Record20-2-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'10"Height5'9"
70"Reach71.7"
155 lbsWeight147 lbs
Academia OctogonoTeamFight Club Berkut· 1661 avg Elo · 7 rated
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1772
If they lose-16→ 1740
If they win+16→ 1766
If they lose-16→ 1734
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1596 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1538 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Manoel SousaMehdi Baydulaev
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
The Combat Edge model rates this a near coin-flip, splitting Manoel Sousa and Mehdi Baydulaev within a point of even.
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1756 vs 1750), separated by just 6 points.
Manoel Sousa enters on a 4-fight win streak.
Mehdi Baydulaev enters on a 10-fight win streak.
Manoel Sousa finishes 80% of wins inside the distance, Mehdi Baydulaev 70%.
Mehdi Baydulaev carries a 2-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.