Manoel Sousa vs Mehdi Baydulaev
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
15-1-0Record20-2-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'10"Height5'9"
70"Reach71.7"
155 lbsWeight147 lbs
Academia OctogonoTeamFight Club Berkut· 1633 avg Elo · 11 rated
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1774
If they lose-16→ 1742
If they win+16→ 1770
If they lose-16→ 1738
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1601 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1547 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Manoel SousaMehdi Baydulaev
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Manoel Sousa65%
Mehdi Baydulaev 35%Elo baseline: 51%
The Combat Edge model makes Manoel Sousa a 65% favorite over Mehdi Baydulaev in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (51%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1758 vs 1754), separated by just 4 points.
Manoel Sousa enters on a 4-fight win streak.
Mehdi Baydulaev enters on a 10-fight win streak.
Manoel Sousa finishes 80% of wins inside the distance, Mehdi Baydulaev 70%.
Mehdi Baydulaev carries a 2-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.