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Combat Edge Intelligence

Manoel Sousa vs Rongzhu

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Rongzhu
cn

Rongzhu

29-6-0LightweightUFC

1755Great

Tale of the tape

15-1-0Record29-6-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'10"Height5'11"
70"Reach72"
155 lbsWeight156 lbs
Academia OctogonoTeamEnbo Fight Club· 1687 avg Elo · 8 rated

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Manoel SousaNow 1758
If they win+16→ 1774
If they lose-16→ 1742
RongzhuNow 1755
If they win+12→ 1767
If they lose-12→ 1743

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1600 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1626 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

4.15
Sig. strikes / min
6.05
45%
Strike accuracy
52%
3.71
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
5.38
51%
Strike defense
53%
0
Takedown avg.
1.34
0%
Takedown accuracy
63%
60%
Takedown defense
84%
1.65
Submission avg.
0.13

Trajectory

Manoel SousaRongzhu
1700175020252026

Win method breakdown

9 (60%)
KO/TKO
16 (57%)
3 (20%)
Submission
6 (21%)
3 (20%)
Decision
6 (21%)

Combat Edge model read

The Combat Edge model rates this a near coin-flip, splitting Manoel Sousa and Rongzhu within a point of even.

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1758 vs 1755), separated by just 3 points.

Manoel Sousa enters on a 4-fight win streak.

Rongzhu enters on a 4-fight win streak.

Manoel Sousa finishes 80% of wins inside the distance, Rongzhu 79%.

Rongzhu carries a 2-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.