Combat Edge Intelligence

Manolo Zecchini vs Tommy McMillen

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

11-5-0Record10-0-0
FeatherweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'9"Height6'0"
68"Reach74"
145 lbsWeight145 lbs
MMA Atletica Boxe MilanoTeamRed Hawk Academy

What's at stake

Tommy McMillen is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +10 while a loss costs more — Manolo Zecchini carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Manolo ZecchiniNow 1564
If they win+22→ 1586
If they lose-10→ 1554
Tommy McMillenNow 1703
If they win+10→ 1713
If they lose-22→ 1681

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1527 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1501 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

2.34
Sig. strikes / min
9.87
22%
Strike accuracy
53%
6.75
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
5.54
47%
Strike defense
58%
0
Takedown avg.
0
TBD
Takedown accuracy
0%
0%
Takedown defense
83%
0
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Manolo ZecchiniTommy McMillen
1550160016501700202420252026

Win method breakdown

9 (82%)
KO/TKO
4 (40%)
1 (9%)
Submission
5 (50%)
1 (9%)
Decision
1 (10%)

Combat Edge model read

Tommy McMillen80%
Manolo Zecchini 20%Elo baseline: 69%

The Combat Edge model makes Tommy McMillen a 80% favorite over Manolo Zecchini in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (69%).

Tommy McMillen holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1703 to 1564, a 139-point edge.

Manolo Zecchini enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Tommy McMillen enters on a 10-fight win streak.

Manolo Zecchini finishes 91% of wins inside the distance, Tommy McMillen 90%.

Tommy McMillen carries a 6-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.