Manolo Zecchini vs Tommy McMillen
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
11-5-0Record11-0-0
FeatherweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'9"Height6'0"
68"Reach74"
145 lbsWeight145 lbs
What's at stake
Tommy McMillen is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +9 while a loss costs more — Manolo Zecchini carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+23→ 1586
If they lose-9→ 1554
If they win+9→ 1725
If they lose-23→ 1693
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1525 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1510 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Manolo ZecchiniTommy McMillen
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Tommy McMillen81%
Manolo Zecchini 19%Elo baseline: 71%
The Combat Edge model makes Tommy McMillen a 81% favorite over Manolo Zecchini in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (71%).
Tommy McMillen holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1716 to 1563, a 153-point edge.
Manolo Zecchini enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Tommy McMillen enters on a 10-fight win streak.
Manolo Zecchini finishes 91% of wins inside the distance, Tommy McMillen 91%.
Tommy McMillen carries a 6-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.