Combat Edge Intelligence

Manuel Torres vs Nasrat Haqparast

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

17-4-0Record18-7-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'9"Height5'10"
73"Reach72"
155 lbsWeight156 lbs
Entram Gym· 1680 avg Elo · 11 ratedTeamTristar Gym

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Manuel TorresNow 1711
If they win+16→ 1727
If they lose-16→ 1695
Nasrat HaqparastNow 1713
If they win+12→ 1725
If they lose-12→ 1701

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1637 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1696 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

7.29
Sig. strikes / min
6.36
60%
Strike accuracy
46%
4.08
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
6
54%
Strike defense
63%
1.72
Takedown avg.
0.34
67%
Takedown accuracy
5%
91%
Takedown defense
86%
0.86
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Manuel TorresNasrat Haqparast
17001750202420252026

Win method breakdown

9 (53%)
KO/TKO
10 (56%)
7 (41%)
Submission
0 (0%)
1 (6%)
Decision
8 (44%)

Combat Edge model read

The Combat Edge model rates this a near coin-flip, splitting Manuel Torres and Nasrat Haqparast within a point of even.

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1711 vs 1713), separated by just 2 points.

Nasrat Haqparast enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Manuel Torres finishes 94% of wins inside the distance, Nasrat Haqparast 56%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.