Combat Edge Intelligence

Manuel Torres vs Nikolas Motta

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

17-4-0Record15-6-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'9"Height5'8"
73"Reach70"
155 lbsWeight155 lbs
Entram Gym· 1680 avg Elo · 11 ratedTeamNova Uniao

What's at stake

Manuel Torres is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +13 while a loss costs more — Nikolas Motta carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Manuel TorresNow 1711
If they win+13→ 1724
If they lose-19→ 1692
Nikolas MottaNow 1642
If they win+19→ 1661
If they lose-13→ 1629

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1637 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1599 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

7.29
Sig. strikes / min
3.64
60%
Strike accuracy
37%
4.08
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
4.50
54%
Strike defense
56%
1.72
Takedown avg.
0
67%
Takedown accuracy
TBD
91%
Takedown defense
82%
0.86
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Manuel TorresNikolas Motta
1650170017502023202420252026

Win method breakdown

9 (53%)
KO/TKO
10 (67%)
7 (41%)
Submission
0 (0%)
1 (6%)
Decision
5 (33%)

Combat Edge model read

Manuel Torres79%
Nikolas Motta 21%Elo baseline: 60%

The Combat Edge model makes Manuel Torres a 79% favorite over Nikolas Motta in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (60%).

Manuel Torres holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1711 to 1642, a 69-point edge.

Manuel Torres finishes 94% of wins inside the distance, Nikolas Motta 67%.

Manuel Torres carries a 3-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.