Combat Edge Intelligence

Mara Romero Borella vs Mayra Bueno Silva

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

12-9-0Record10-7-1
FlyweightDivisionBantamweight
5'6"Height5'7"
38,0"Reach66"
125 lbsWeight135 lbs
American Top TeamTeamAmerican Top Team

What's at stake

Mayra Bueno Silva is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +13 while a loss costs more — Mara Romero Borella carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Mara Romero BorellaNow 1531
If they win+19→ 1550
If they lose-13→ 1518
Mayra Bueno SilvaNow 1604
If they win+13→ 1617
If they lose-19→ 1585

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1595 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1654 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

2.54
Sig. strikes / min
3.71
38%
Strike accuracy
57%
2.48
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
4.90
71%
Strike defense
52%
1.83
Takedown avg.
0.51
44%
Takedown accuracy
24%
67%
Takedown defense
64%
0.23
Submission avg.
1.33

Trajectory

Mara Romero BorellaMayra Bueno Silva
1550160016501700201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

3 (25%)
KO/TKO
1 (10%)
4 (33%)
Submission
7 (70%)
5 (42%)
Decision
2 (20%)

Combat Edge model read

Mayra Bueno Silva72%
Mara Romero Borella 28%Elo baseline: 60%

The Combat Edge model makes Mayra Bueno Silva a 72% favorite over Mara Romero Borella in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (60%).

Mayra Bueno Silva holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1604 to 1531, a 73-point edge.

Mara Romero Borella enters on a 4-fight loss streak.

Mayra Bueno Silva enters on a 5-fight loss streak.

Mara Romero Borella finishes 58% of wins inside the distance, Mayra Bueno Silva 80%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.