Combat Edge Intelligence

Marc-André Barriault vs Michał Oleksiejczuk

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →

Tale of the tape

17-11-0Record22-10-0
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'1"Height6'0"
74"Reach74"
185 lbsWeight185 lbs

What's at stake

Michał Oleksiejczuk is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +10 while a loss costs more — Marc-André Barriault carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Marc-André BarriaultNow 1637
If they win+14→ 1651
If they lose-10→ 1627
Michał OleksiejczukNow 1704
If they win+10→ 1714
If they lose-14→ 1690

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1680 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1693 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

5.65
Sig. strikes / min
5.85
47%
Strike accuracy
53%
5.94
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
4.50
49%
Strike defense
60%
0.34
Takedown avg.
1.02
7%
Takedown accuracy
42%
68%
Takedown defense
53%
0.09
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Marc-André BarriaultMichał Oleksiejczuk
16501700202420252026

Win method breakdown

11 (65%)
KO/TKO
16 (73%)
1 (6%)
Submission
1 (5%)
5 (29%)
Decision
5 (23%)

Combat Edge model read

Michał Oleksiejczuk73%
Marc-André Barriault 27%Elo baseline: 60%

The Combat Edge model makes Michał Oleksiejczuk a 73% favorite over Marc-André Barriault in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (60%).

Michał Oleksiejczuk holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1704 to 1637, a 67-point edge.

Marc-André Barriault enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Marc-André Barriault finishes 71% of wins inside the distance, Michał Oleksiejczuk 77%.

Marc-André Barriault and Michał Oleksiejczuk share 1 common opponent: Shara Magomedov.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.

Common opponents (1)

LossDecision (unanimous) · 2025
Shara Magomedov
LossDecision - Unanimous · 2024