Marc-André Barriault vs Michał Oleksiejczuk
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
17-11-0Record22-10-0
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'1"Height6'0"
74"Reach74"
185 lbsWeight185 lbs
Kill Cliff FCTeamAkademia Sportow Walki Wilanow
What's at stake
Michał Oleksiejczuk is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +10 while a loss costs more — Marc-André Barriault carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+14→ 1652
If they lose-10→ 1628
If they win+10→ 1707
If they lose-14→ 1683
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1680 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1696 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Marc-André BarriaultMichał Oleksiejczuk
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Michał Oleksiejczuk72%
Marc-André Barriault 28%Elo baseline: 58%
The Combat Edge model makes Michał Oleksiejczuk a 72% favorite over Marc-André Barriault in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (58%).
Michał Oleksiejczuk holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1697 to 1638, a 59-point edge.
Marc-André Barriault enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Marc-André Barriault finishes 71% of wins inside the distance, Michał Oleksiejczuk 77%.
Marc-André Barriault and Michał Oleksiejczuk share 1 common opponent: Shara Magomedov.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.