Marc-André Barriault vs Shara Magomedov
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
17-11-0Record17-1-0
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'1"Height6'2"
74"Reach73"
185 lbsWeight186 lbs
Kill Cliff FCTeamGOR MMA
What's at stake
Shara Magomedov is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +10 while a loss costs more — Marc-André Barriault carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+16→ 1654
If they lose-8→ 1630
If they win+10→ 1775
If they lose-22→ 1743
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1680 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1608 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Marc-André BarriaultShara Magomedov
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Shara Magomedov92%
Marc-André Barriault 8%Elo baseline: 68%
The Combat Edge model makes Shara Magomedov a 92% favorite over Marc-André Barriault in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (68%).
Shara Magomedov holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1765 to 1638, a 127-point edge.
Marc-André Barriault enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Shara Magomedov enters on a 2-fight win streak.
Marc-André Barriault finishes 71% of wins inside the distance, Shara Magomedov 71%.
Marc-André Barriault and Shara Magomedov share 1 common opponent: Michał Oleksiejczuk.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.