Combat Edge Intelligence

Marc-André Barriault vs Mark Munoz

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Mark Munoz
us

Mark Munoz

“The Filipino Wrecking Machine”

14-6-0MiddleweightUFC

1639Solid

Tale of the tape

17-11-0Record14-6-0
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'1"Height6'0"
74"ReachTBD
185 lbsWeight185 lbs
Kill Cliff FCTeamReign MMA

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Marc-André BarriaultNow 1638
If they win+12→ 1650
If they lose-12→ 1626
Mark MunozNow 1639
If they win+16→ 1655
If they lose-16→ 1623

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1680 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1682 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

5.65
Sig. strikes / min
3.12
47%
Strike accuracy
51%
5.94
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.26
49%
Strike defense
57%
0.34
Takedown avg.
3.17
7%
Takedown accuracy
30%
68%
Takedown defense
58%
0.09
Submission avg.
0.55

Trajectory

Marc-André BarriaultMark Munoz
1650170020132014201520162017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

11 (65%)
KO/TKO
7 (50%)
1 (6%)
Submission
0 (0%)
5 (29%)
Decision
7 (50%)

Combat Edge model read

Marc-André Barriault63%
Mark Munoz 37%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Marc-André Barriault a 63% favorite over Mark Munoz in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Mark Munoz's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1638 vs 1639), separated by just 1 points.

Marc-André Barriault enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Marc-André Barriault finishes 71% of wins inside the distance, Mark Munoz 50%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.