Combat Edge Intelligence

Marc Diakiese vs Nasrat Haqparast

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

18-8-0Record18-6-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'10"Height5'10"
73"Reach72"
155 lbsWeight156 lbs
Great Britain Top TeamTeamTristar Gym

What's at stake

Nasrat Haqparast is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +9 while a loss costs more — Marc Diakiese carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Marc DiakieseNow 1641
If they win+15→ 1656
If they lose-9→ 1632
Nasrat HaqparastNow 1728
If they win+9→ 1737
If they lose-15→ 1713

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1632 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1697 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

2.54
Sig. strikes / min
6.40
40%
Strike accuracy
45%
2.64
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
6.01
53%
Strike defense
63%
3.29
Takedown avg.
0.35
10%
Takedown accuracy
20%
67%
Takedown defense
85%
0
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Marc DiakieseNasrat Haqparast
1600165017001750202320242025

Win method breakdown

6 (33%)
KO/TKO
10 (56%)
1 (6%)
Submission
0 (0%)
11 (61%)
Decision
8 (44%)

Combat Edge model read

Nasrat Haqparast73%
Marc Diakiese 27%Elo baseline: 62%

The Combat Edge model makes Nasrat Haqparast a 73% favorite over Marc Diakiese in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (62%).

Nasrat Haqparast holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1728 to 1641, a 87-point edge.

Marc Diakiese finishes 39% of wins inside the distance, Nasrat Haqparast 56%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.