Marcello Morelli vs Yaman Mjahed
Records, Elo, stats and the Combat Edge model read, side by side.
Combat Edge model read
Yaman Mjahed56%
Marcello Morelli 44%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Yaman Mjahed a 56% favorite over Marcello Morelli in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1553 vs 1555), separated by just 2 points.
Marcello Morelli enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Marcello Morelli finishes 63% of wins inside the distance, Yaman Mjahed 100%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.
Tale of the tape
8-5-0Record4-2-0
BantamweightDivisionFlyweight
5'8"Height5'8"
-Reach-
135 lbsWeight125 lbs
Uniq Fight Club· 1580 avg Elo · 5 ratedTeamOriginal MMA Team
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1569
If they lose-16→ 1537
If they win+24→ 1579
If they lose-24→ 1531
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1530 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1535 · 6 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Marcello MorelliYaman Mjahed