Marciano Ferreira vs Rashid Vagabov
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
15-5-0Record15-2-0
FlyweightDivisionFlyweight
5'6"Height5'7"
TBDReachTBD
126 lbsWeight125 lbs
Team Lucas Mineiro· 1649 avg Elo · 5 ratedTeamAbdulmanap Nurmagomedov School· 1710 avg Elo · 8 rated
What's at stake
Rashid Vagabov is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +13 while a loss costs more — Marciano Ferreira carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+19→ 1645
If they lose-13→ 1613
If they win+13→ 1710
If they lose-19→ 1678
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1520 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1510 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Marciano FerreiraRashid Vagabov
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Rashid Vagabov68%
Marciano Ferreira 32%Elo baseline: 60%
The Combat Edge model makes Rashid Vagabov a 68% favorite over Marciano Ferreira in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (60%).
Rashid Vagabov holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1697 to 1626, a 71-point edge.
Rashid Vagabov enters on a 8-fight win streak.
Marciano Ferreira finishes 53% of wins inside the distance, Rashid Vagabov 60%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.