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Combat Edge Intelligence

Marcin Held vs Shamil Basaev

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →

Tale of the tape

31-11-0Record8-0-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'9"Height5'9"
39,5"Reach71.3"
156 lbsWeight147 lbs
Ankos MMA· 1666 avg Elo · 5 ratedTeamFight Club Akhmat· 1680 avg Elo · 29 rated

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Marcin HeldNow 1688
If they win+12→ 1700
If they lose-12→ 1676
Shamil BasaevNow 1688
If they win+24→ 1712
If they lose-24→ 1664

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1634 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1542 · 8 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

1.41
Sig. strikes / min
Not available
35%
Strike accuracy
Not available
2.02
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
Not available
47%
Strike defense
Not available
2.46
Takedown avg.
Not available
38%
Takedown accuracy
Not available
38%
Takedown defense
Not available
1.31
Submission avg.
Not available

Trajectory

Marcin HeldShamil Basaev
1550160016501700202420252026

Win method breakdown

4 (13%)
KO/TKO
4 (50%)
16 (52%)
Submission
1 (13%)
11 (35%)
Decision
3 (38%)

Combat Edge model read

Marcin Held53%
Shamil Basaev 47%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Marcin Held a 53% favorite over Shamil Basaev in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1688 vs 1688), separated by just 0 points.

Shamil Basaev enters on a 8-fight win streak.

Marcin Held finishes 65% of wins inside the distance, Shamil Basaev 63%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.