Marcin Prachnio vs Philipe Lins
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
17-9-0Record18-6-0
Light HeavyweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
6'3"Height6'1"
74"Reach78"
205 lbsWeight205 lbs
Tatsujin DojoTeamAmerican Top Team
What's at stake
Philipe Lins is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +13 while a loss costs more — Marcin Prachnio carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+14→ 1625
If they lose-10→ 1601
If they win+13→ 1696
If they lose-19→ 1664
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1635 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1665 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Marcin PrachnioPhilipe Lins
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Philipe Lins70%
Marcin Prachnio 30%Elo baseline: 60%
The Combat Edge model makes Philipe Lins a 70% favorite over Marcin Prachnio in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (60%).
Philipe Lins holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1683 to 1611, a 72-point edge.
Marcin Prachnio enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Marcin Prachnio finishes 71% of wins inside the distance, Philipe Lins 72%.
Philipe Lins carries a 4-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.