Combat Edge Intelligence

Marcio Cabral vs Rakim Talley

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

13-4-0Record1-1-0
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'1"Height6'1"
-Reach75"
185 lbsWeight185 lbs
Bonfim Brothers· 1595 avg Elo · 4 ratedTeamTeam Wildside

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Marcio CabralNow 1499
If they win+24→ 1523
If they lose-24→ 1475
Rakim TalleyNow 1493
If they win+24→ 1517
If they lose-24→ 1469

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1526 · 7 fightsPre-fight Elo1500 · 2 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
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Strike accuracy
TBD
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
TBD
Strike defense
TBD
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Takedown avg.
TBD
TBD
Takedown accuracy
TBD
TBD
Takedown defense
TBD
TBD
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Marcio CabralRakim Talley
145015002023202420252026

Win method breakdown

9 (69%)
KO/TKO
0 (0%)
0 (0%)
Submission
0 (0%)
4 (31%)
Decision
1 (100%)

Combat Edge model read

Marcio Cabral72%
Rakim Talley 28%Elo baseline: 51%

The Combat Edge model makes Marcio Cabral a 72% favorite over Rakim Talley in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (51%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1499 vs 1493), separated by just 6 points.

Marcio Cabral finishes 69% of wins inside the distance.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.