Marcirley Alves vs Omar El Dafrawy
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
15-6-0Record16-6-0
BantamweightDivisionWelterweight
5'4"Height5'10"
66"Reach74"
135 lbsWeight170 lbs
Chute Boxe Joao Emilio· 1698 avg Elo · 4 ratedTeamSoma Fight Club· 1625 avg Elo · 3 rated
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1669
If they lose-16→ 1637
If they win+16→ 1675
If they lose-16→ 1643
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1634 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1562 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Marcirley AlvesOmar El Dafrawy
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Marcirley Alves52%
Omar El Dafrawy 48%Elo baseline: 49%
The Combat Edge model makes Marcirley Alves a 52% favorite over Omar El Dafrawy in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Omar El Dafrawy's way (49%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1653 vs 1659), separated by just 6 points.
Marcirley Alves enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Omar El Dafrawy enters on a 2-fight win streak.
Marcirley Alves finishes 67% of wins inside the distance, Omar El Dafrawy 75%.
Omar El Dafrawy carries a 8-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.