Marco Novák vs Shane Young
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
7-3-0Record13-8-0
FeatherweightDivisionLightweight
5'11"Height5'8"
-ReachTBD
146 lbsWeight150 lbs
Hanuman Gym BratislavaTeamCity Kickboxing
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1600
If they lose-16→ 1568
If they win+16→ 1599
If they lose-16→ 1567
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1530 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1599 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Marco NovákShane Young
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Shane Young60%
Marco Novák 40%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Shane Young a 60% favorite over Marco Novák in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Marco Novák's way (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1584 vs 1583), separated by just 1 points.
Shane Young enters on a 4-fight loss streak.
Marco Novák finishes 57% of wins inside the distance, Shane Young 77%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.