Marco Tulio vs Matthieu Duclos
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
14-3-0Record11-3-0
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'1"Height6'3"
74"Reach76"
185 lbsWeight185 lbs
Chute Boxe Diego LimaTeamVenum Training Camp Paris
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1688
If they lose-16→ 1656
If they win+16→ 1689
If they lose-16→ 1657
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1562 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1566 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Marco TulioMatthieu Duclos
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Marco Tulio54%
Matthieu Duclos 46%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Marco Tulio a 54% favorite over Matthieu Duclos in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Matthieu Duclos's way (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1672 vs 1673), separated by just 1 points.
Marco Tulio enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Matthieu Duclos enters on a 5-fight win streak.
Marco Tulio finishes 79% of wins inside the distance, Matthieu Duclos 82%.
Matthieu Duclos carries a 2-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.