Marco Tulio vs Rashad Evans
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
14-3-0Record20-8-1
MiddleweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
6'1"Height5'11"
74"Reach75"
185 lbsWeight205 lbs
Chute Boxe Diego LimaTeamKill Cliff FC
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1688
If they lose-16→ 1656
If they win+12→ 1686
If they lose-12→ 1662
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1563 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1724 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Marco TulioRashad Evans
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Marco Tulio70%
Rashad Evans 30%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Marco Tulio a 70% favorite over Rashad Evans in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Rashad Evans's way (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1672 vs 1674), separated by just 2 points.
Marco Tulio enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Marco Tulio finishes 79% of wins inside the distance, Rashad Evans 45%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.