Marco Tulio vs Roman Kopylov
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
14-3-0Record15-5-0
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'1"Height6'0"
74"Reach75"
185 lbsWeight185 lbs
Chute Boxe Diego LimaTeamRaty Team
What's at stake
Roman Kopylov is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +14 while a loss costs more — Marco Tulio carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+18→ 1685
If they lose-14→ 1653
If they win+14→ 1726
If they lose-18→ 1694
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1550 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1686 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Marco TulioRoman Kopylov
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Roman Kopylov56%
Marco Tulio 44%Elo baseline: 56%
The Combat Edge model makes Roman Kopylov a 56% favorite over Marco Tulio in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (56%).
Roman Kopylov holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1712 to 1667, a 45-point edge.
Marco Tulio enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Roman Kopylov enters on a 2-fight win streak.
Marco Tulio finishes 79% of wins inside the distance, Roman Kopylov 80%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.