Marco Tulio vs Shamil Magomedov
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
14-3-0Record14-0-0
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'1"Height6'0"
74"Reach-
185 lbsWeight186 lbs
Chute Boxe Diego LimaTeamGOR MMA· 1700 avg Elo · 6 rated
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1688
If they lose-16→ 1656
If they win+16→ 1688
If they lose-16→ 1656
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1562 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1514 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Marco TulioShamil Magomedov
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Marco Tulio59%
Shamil Magomedov 41%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Marco Tulio a 59% favorite over Shamil Magomedov in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1672 vs 1672), separated by just 0 points.
Marco Tulio enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Shamil Magomedov enters on a 4-fight win streak.
Marco Tulio finishes 79% of wins inside the distance, Shamil Magomedov 64%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.