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Combat Edge Intelligence

Marco Tulio Silva Costa vs Matthieu Duclos

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →

Tale of the tape

11-1-0Record11-3-0
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'1"Height6'3"
TBDReach76"
185 lbsWeight185 lbs

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Marco Tulio Silva CostaNow 1672
If they win+16→ 1688
If they lose-16→ 1656
Matthieu DuclosNow 1673
If they win+16→ 1689
If they lose-16→ 1657

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1503 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1566 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

4.42
Sig. strikes / min
3.93
51%
Strike accuracy
37%
2.78
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
6.81
58%
Strike defense
46%
1.33
Takedown avg.
0
20%
Takedown accuracy
Not available
0%
Takedown defense
100%
0.66
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Marco Tulio Silva CostaMatthieu Duclos
15501600165020222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

7 (64%)
KO/TKO
9 (82%)
1 (9%)
Submission
0 (0%)
3 (27%)
Decision
2 (18%)

Combat Edge model read

Matthieu Duclos62%
Marco Tulio Silva Costa 38%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Matthieu Duclos a 62% favorite over Marco Tulio Silva Costa in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1672 vs 1673), separated by just 1 points.

Marco Tulio Silva Costa enters on a 7-fight win streak.

Matthieu Duclos enters on a 5-fight win streak.

Marco Tulio Silva Costa finishes 73% of wins inside the distance, Matthieu Duclos 82%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.