Combat Edge Intelligence

Marco Tulio Silva Costa vs Scott Askham

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

11-1-0Record20-6-0
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'1"Height6'3"
TBDReach75,0"
185 lbsWeight185 lbs
Team ParaibaTeamAmerican Top Team

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Marco Tulio Silva CostaNow 1676
If they win+16→ 1692
If they lose-16→ 1660
Scott AskhamNow 1679
If they win+12→ 1691
If they lose-12→ 1667

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1545 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1634 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

4.42
Sig. strikes / min
3.03
51%
Strike accuracy
46%
2.78
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.52
58%
Strike defense
52%
1.33
Takedown avg.
0.44
20%
Takedown accuracy
18%
0%
Takedown defense
65%
0.66
Submission avg.
0.67

Trajectory

Marco Tulio Silva CostaScott Askham
16501700202420252026

Win method breakdown

7 (64%)
KO/TKO
12 (60%)
1 (9%)
Submission
2 (10%)
3 (27%)
Decision
6 (30%)

Combat Edge model read

Marco Tulio Silva Costa64%
Scott Askham 36%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Marco Tulio Silva Costa a 64% favorite over Scott Askham in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Scott Askham's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1676 vs 1679), separated by just 3 points.

Marco Tulio Silva Costa finishes 73% of wins inside the distance, Scott Askham 70%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.