Marcos Breno vs Ronnie Lawrence
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
16-4-0Record8-2-0
BantamweightDivisionBantamweight
5'5"Height5'8"
68"Reach68"
135 lbsWeight135 lbs
Teixeira MMA & Fitness· 1650 avg Elo · 6 ratedTeamMMA Science Academy
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1654
If they lose-16→ 1622
If they win+24→ 1660
If they lose-24→ 1612
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1591 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1570 · 9 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Marcos BrenoRonnie Lawrence
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Marcos Breno65%
Ronnie Lawrence 35%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Marcos Breno a 65% favorite over Ronnie Lawrence in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1638 vs 1636), separated by just 2 points.
Marcos Breno finishes 88% of wins inside the distance, Ronnie Lawrence 50%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.