Marcos Degli vs Mitch Raposo
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
15-3-0Record11-3-0
FlyweightDivisionFlyweight
5'6"Height5'5"
67"Reach64"
125 lbsWeight125 lbs
Vale Top Team· 1670 avg Elo · 4 ratedTeamRegiment Training Center
What's at stake
Marcos Degli is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +14 while a loss costs more — Mitch Raposo carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+14→ 1726
If they lose-18→ 1694
If they win+18→ 1688
If they lose-14→ 1656
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1524 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1585 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Marcos DegliMitch Raposo
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Mitch Raposo55%
Marcos Degli 45%Elo baseline: 44%
The Combat Edge model makes Mitch Raposo a 55% favorite over Marcos Degli in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Marcos Degli's way (44%).
Marcos Degli holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1712 to 1670, a 42-point edge.
Marcos Degli enters on a 10-fight win streak.
Mitch Raposo enters on a 2-fight win streak.
Marcos Degli finishes 93% of wins inside the distance, Mitch Raposo 64%.
Marcos Degli carries a 3-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.