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Combat Edge Intelligence

Marcos Degli vs Paris Moran

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

15-3-0Record14-4-0
FlyweightDivisionBantamweight
5'6"Height5'8"
67"Reach68"
125 lbsWeight135 lbs
Vale Top Team· 1670 avg Elo · 4 ratedTeamGracie Barra Katy

What's at stake

Marcos Degli is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +13 while a loss costs more — Paris Moran carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Marcos DegliNow 1712
If they win+13→ 1725
If they lose-19→ 1693
Paris MoranNow 1648
If they win+19→ 1667
If they lose-13→ 1635

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1524 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1544 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

Not available
Sig. strikes / min
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Strike accuracy
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Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
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Strike defense
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Takedown avg.
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Takedown accuracy
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Takedown defense
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Submission avg.
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Trajectory

Marcos DegliParis Moran
16501700202420252026

Win method breakdown

9 (60%)
KO/TKO
4 (29%)
5 (33%)
Submission
2 (14%)
1 (7%)
Decision
8 (57%)

Combat Edge model read

Marcos Degli67%
Paris Moran 33%Elo baseline: 59%

The Combat Edge model makes Marcos Degli a 67% favorite over Paris Moran in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (59%).

Marcos Degli holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1712 to 1648, a 64-point edge.

Marcos Degli enters on a 10-fight win streak.

Marcos Degli finishes 93% of wins inside the distance, Paris Moran 43%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.