Marcos Degli vs Paris Moran
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
14-3-0Record14-3-0
FlyweightDivisionBantamweight
5'6"Height5'8"
70"Reach-
125 lbsWeight135 lbs
Vale Top Team· 1666 avg Elo · 4 ratedTeamGracie Barra Katy
What's at stake
Marcos Degli is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +15 while a loss costs more — Paris Moran carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+15→ 1709
If they lose-17→ 1677
If they win+17→ 1684
If they lose-15→ 1652
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1501 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1533 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Marcos DegliParis Moran
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Paris Moran51%
Marcos Degli 49%Elo baseline: 46%
The Combat Edge model makes Paris Moran a 51% favorite over Marcos Degli in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Marcos Degli's way (46%).
Marcos Degli holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1694 to 1667, a 27-point edge.
Marcos Degli enters on a 10-fight win streak.
Paris Moran enters on a 2-fight win streak.
Marcos Degli finishes 93% of wins inside the distance, Paris Moran 43%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.