Paris Moran vs Marcos Degli

DateSep 22, 2026

DivisionFlyweight

StatusScheduled

VenueMeta APEX

BroadcastPARAMOUNT+

Start times & how to watch

Start time & how to watch

Main card starts Tuesday, September 22, 2026 — watch on PARAMOUNT+.

US East (ET): Tue 7:00 PM
US West (PT): Tue 4:00 PM
United Kingdom: Wed 12:00 AM
Central Europe: Wed 1:00 AM
Australia (Sydney): Wed 9:00 AM
Your time

Paris Moran14-3-0Paris Moran vs Marcos DegliMarcos DegliTailandes |14-3-0

Paris Moran14-3-0

Fight Overview

Round3

Time5:00

14-3-0Record14-3-0

30Age26

5'8"Height5'6"

-Reach70"

135 lbsWeight125 lbs

FlyweightWeight ClassFlyweight

Marcos DegliTailandes14-3-0

Combat Edge Intelligence

Fight Intelligence

Marcos Degli owns a 27-point Elo edge (good). Tracked UFC stat edges are limited for this matchup. There are no clean shared-opponent matches in tracked pro MMA history.

Compare Paris Moran and Marcos Degli across their careers →

Elo Recent career Elo trajectory

Recent three-year Elo paths for both fighters. Ratings shown here are current career context; the event-specific prediction or verified result remains on this Fight page.

Paris MoranMarcos Degli

Recent form

Paris MoranW W L W W · +26 Elo last 5

WWLWW

Marcos DegliW W W W W · +53 Elo last 5

WWWWW

Elo edge

Paris Moran1667+11 last move

Marcos Degli1694+10 last move

Fight intelligence

Model forecast and your pick

Inspect the model’s probability and Elo baseline, then make your own call before the card starts.

Combat Edge Model

Fight forecast

Frozen pre-fight · v0.7-2026-08-28

16%Paris Moran84%Marcos Degli

Model favoriteMarcos Degli

Elo baseline54% for Marcos Degli

Matchup adjustment+30 pts vs Elo

Win probability computed before the fight from point-in-time Elo, records, and matchup data. The baseline shows what Elo alone expected; the adjustment is not a certainty. Analytics, not betting advice.

See all predictions →Back Marcos DegliStake

Forecast context

What separates the fighters

Model + Elo agree

Marcos Degli leads the full model at 84%. Elo agrees, and the complete matchup model strengthens that lean by 30 points.

Current Elo ratings1667 · 1694Marcos Degli leads by 27 rating points.

Recent opponent quality1533 · 1501Paris Moran faced the stronger recent schedule (10 vs 10 sampled fights).

Elo record depth17 · 17 fightsThe published ratings use the same number of counted fights.

Largest tracked stat edgesNot enough comparable dataNo advantage is inferred when the underlying records are incomplete.

Stat advantages

Paris MoranvsMarcos Degli

No tracked UFC stat edge yet.

Finishing profile

Paris Morandecision leads 57% of wins

Marcos DegliKO/TKO leads 64% of wins

Common opponents

No clean shared-opponent match found in tracked pro MMA history.

Tale of the tape

Paris MoranMarcos Degli

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

Not availableSig. strikes landed per minNot available

UFC bantamweight average : 3.72

Not availableSig. strike accuracyNot available

UFC bantamweight average : 45%

Not availableSig. strikes absorbed per minNot available

UFC bantamweight average : 3.76

Not availableSig. strike defenseNot available

UFC bantamweight average : 54%

Not availableTakedown averageNot available

UFC bantamweight average : 1.51

Not availableTakedown accuracyNot available

UFC bantamweight average : 29%

Not availableTakedown defenseNot available

UFC bantamweight average : 61%

Not availableSubmission averageNot available

UFC bantamweight average : 0.52

4Wins by knockout9

2Wins by submission4

8Wins by decision1

1Losses by knockout0

1Losses by submission1

1Losses by decision2

Paris Moran vs Marcos Degli is a scheduled Flyweight fight on CONTENDER SERIES 2026 : WEEK 7. Paris Moran enters with a 14-3-0 record and Marcos Degli enters with a 14-3-0 record. Combat Edge tracks the matchup preview, UFC stats, Elo edge, shared opponents, event date, venue, and full fight card.