Marcos Rogerio de Lima vs Stefan Struve
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
22-9-1Record29-13-0
HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'1"Height7'0"
75"Reach84,5"
262 lbsWeight265 lbs
American Top TeamTeamTeam Schrijber
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1688
If they lose-16→ 1656
If they win+12→ 1676
If they lose-12→ 1652
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1686 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1696 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Marcos Rogerio de LimaStefan Struve
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Marcos Rogerio de Lima56%
Stefan Struve 44%Elo baseline: 51%
The Combat Edge model makes Marcos Rogerio de Lima a 56% favorite over Stefan Struve in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (51%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1672 vs 1664), separated by just 8 points.
Stefan Struve enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Marcos Rogerio de Lima finishes 82% of wins inside the distance, Stefan Struve 93%.
Marcos Rogerio de Lima and Stefan Struve share 2 common opponents: Andrei Arlovski and Ben Rothwell.
Stefan Struve carries a 9-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.