Stefan Struve vs Marcos Rogerio de Lima

Feb 23, 2019 · ESPN+

DateFeb 23, 2019

DivisionHeavyweight

StatusScheduled

VenueO2 Arena

BroadcastESPN+

Start times & how to watch

Start time & how to watch

Main card starts Saturday, February 23, 2019 — watch on ESPN+.

US East (ET): Sat 1:00 PM
US West (PT): Sat 10:00 AM
United Kingdom: Sat 6:00 PM
Central Europe: Sat 7:00 PM
Australia (Sydney): Sun 5:00 AM
Your time

Stefan StruveSkyscraper |29-13-0Stefan Struve vs Marcos Rogerio de LimaMarcos Rogerio de LimaPezao |22-9-1

Stefan StruveSkyscraper29-13-0

Fight Overview

RoundTBD

Time2:21

29-13-0Record22-9-1

38Age41

7'0"Height6'1"

84,5"Reach75"

265 lbsWeight262 lbs

HeavyweightWeight ClassHeavyweight

Marcos Rogerio de LimaPezao22-9-1

Combat Edge Intelligence

Fight Intelligence

Marcos Rogerio de Lima owns a 10-point Elo edge (good). Marcos Rogerio de Lima shows more surface-level statistical edges across the tracked UFC categories. 3 shared opponents give extra context.

Compare Stefan Struve and Marcos Rogerio de Lima across their careers →

Elo Recent career Elo trajectory

Recent three-year Elo paths for both fighters. Ratings shown here are current career context; the event-specific prediction or verified result remains on this Fight page.

Stefan StruveMarcos Rogerio de Lima

Recent form

Stefan StruveL L W L L · -46 Elo last 5

LLWLL

Marcos Rogerio de LimaW L W W L · +30 Elo last 5

WLWWL

Elo edge

Stefan Struve1663-17 last move

Marcos Rogerio de Lima1673+17 last move

Why they are ranked here

Stefan StruveNot on the active ladder · 1663 Elo

Biggest gain: Beat Antonio Silva (rated 1700 at the time): +15.
Costliest loss: Lost to Tai Tuivasa (rated 1615 at the time): -17.
Last 5 fights: 1 win, 4 losses, -46 Elo in total.
Inactivity: Placed on 1573, not 1663: 90 points are held back after more than 18 months without a fight, until the next one.

Marcos Rogerio de LimaNot on the active ladder · 1673 Elo

Biggest gain: Beat Ben Rothwell (rated 1732 at the time): +25.
Costliest loss: Lost to Derrick Lewis (rated 1753 at the time): -15.
Last 5 fights: 3 wins, 2 losses, +30 Elo in total.
Inactivity: Placed on 1632, not 1673: 41 points are held back after more than 18 months without a fight, until the next one.

Every rated fight moves a rating by an amount set by the opponent's rating at the time, the result and how it ended. Places are counted among fighters active in the last 24 months. How the rating is calculated

Fight intelligence

Model forecast and your pick

Inspect the model’s probability and Elo baseline, then make your own call before the card starts.

What's at stake

Stefan StruveNow 1663

Wins by decision+12→ 1675

Loses by decision-12→ 1651

Marcos Rogerio de LimaNow 1673

Wins by decision+16→ 1689

Loses by decision-16→ 1657

What-if simulatorPremium

Pick the winner and how the fight ends to see both new ratings, both new division ranks, and who each fighter would pass.

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Projected with the same rules as the rankings, at today's ratings. Split decisions move ratings less and finishes more.

Stat advantages

Stefan StruvevsMarcos Rogerio de Lima

Submission average

1.68vs0.51

Takedown average

0.56vs1.40

Sig. strikes absorbed per min

4.04vs2.90

Sig. strike accuracy

47%vs58%

Finishing profile

Stefan Struvesubmission leads 62% of wins

Marcos Rogerio de LimaKO/TKO leads 68% of wins

Common opponents

Andrei Arlovski Stefan Struve: loss · Decision · Mar 3, 2018 Marcos Rogerio de Lima: win · Submission (Rear Naked Choke) · Oct 29, 2022

Ben RothwellStefan Struve: loss · Punches · Dec 7, 2019Marcos Rogerio de Lima: win · TKO (punches) · Nov 13, 2021

Ruslan MagomedovStefan Struve: cancelled · Oct 8, 2016Marcos Rogerio de Lima: cancelled · Cancelled Bout · Nov 3, 2018

Tale of the tape

Stefan StruveMarcos Rogerio de Lima

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

3.12Sig. strikes landed per min3.70

UFC heavyweight average : 3.77

47Sig. strike accuracy58

UFC heavyweight average : 49%

4.04Sig. strikes absorbed per min2.90

UFC heavyweight average : 3.92

47Sig. strike defense52

UFC heavyweight average : 51%

0.56Takedown average1.40

UFC heavyweight average : 1.40

47Takedown accuracy46

UFC heavyweight average : 30%

56Takedown defense59

UFC heavyweight average : 53%

1.68Submission average0.51

UFC heavyweight average : 0.44

8Wins by knockout15

18Wins by submission3

2Wins by decision4

9Losses by knockout2

1Losses by submission5

3Losses by decision2

Stefan Struve vs Marcos Rogerio de Lima is a scheduled Heavyweight fight on UFC FIGHT NIGHT : BLACHOWICZ VS SANTOS. Stefan Struve enters with a 29-13-0 record and Marcos Rogerio de Lima enters with a 22-9-1 record. Combat Edge tracks the matchup preview, UFC stats, Elo edge, shared opponents, event date, venue, and full fight card.