Marcos Rogerio de Lima vs Waldo Cortes-Acosta
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
22-9-1Record17-3-0
HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'1"Height6'4"
75"Reach78"
262 lbsWeight262 lbs
American Top TeamTeamUltimate Kombat Fitness
What's at stake
Waldo Cortes-Acosta is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +11 while a loss costs more — Marcos Rogerio de Lima carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+21→ 1693
If they lose-11→ 1661
If they win+11→ 1790
If they lose-21→ 1758
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1686 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1714 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Marcos Rogerio de LimaWaldo Cortes-Acosta
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Waldo Cortes-Acosta79%
Marcos Rogerio de Lima 21%Elo baseline: 65%
The Combat Edge model makes Waldo Cortes-Acosta a 79% favorite over Marcos Rogerio de Lima in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (65%).
Waldo Cortes-Acosta holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1779 to 1672, a 107-point edge.
Marcos Rogerio de Lima finishes 82% of wins inside the distance, Waldo Cortes-Acosta 59%.
Marcos Rogerio de Lima and Waldo Cortes-Acosta share 2 common opponents: Derrick Lewis and Andrei Arlovski.
Waldo Cortes-Acosta carries a 3-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.