Marcos Rosa vs Willy LaMacchia
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
2-3-0Record0-1-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
TBDHeightTBD
45.00Reach-
155 lbsWeight155 lbs
Team Nogueira Porto AlegreTeam
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+24→ 1509
If they lose-24→ 1461
If they win+24→ 1504
If they lose-24→ 1456
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1633 · 1 fightsPre-fight Elo1500 · 1 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Willy LaMacchia59%
Marcos Rosa 41%Elo baseline: 49%
The Combat Edge model makes Willy LaMacchia a 59% favorite over Marcos Rosa in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Marcos Rosa's way (49%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1485 vs 1480), separated by just 5 points.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.