Combat Edge Intelligence

Marina Spasić vs Stephanie Luciano

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

7-2-0Record8-2-1
StrawweightDivisionStrawweight
5'5"Height5'6"
64"Reach65"
115 lbsWeight115 lbs

What's at stake

Stephanie Luciano is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +14 while a loss costs more — Marina Spasić carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Marina SpasićNow 1587
If they win+27→ 1614
If they lose-21→ 1566
Stephanie LucianoNow 1634
If they win+14→ 1648
If they lose-18→ 1616

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1497 · 9 fightsPre-fight Elo1551 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

Not available
Sig. strikes / min
5.20
Not available
Strike accuracy
43%
Not available
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.04
Not available
Strike defense
65%
Not available
Takedown avg.
1.30
Not available
Takedown accuracy
0%
Not available
Takedown defense
81%
Not available
Submission avg.
0.26

Trajectory

Marina SpasićStephanie Luciano
155016001650202420252026

Win method breakdown

6 (86%)
KO/TKO
2 (25%)
0 (0%)
Submission
2 (25%)
1 (14%)
Decision
4 (50%)

Combat Edge model read

Stephanie Luciano64%
Marina Spasić 36%Elo baseline: 57%

The Combat Edge model makes Stephanie Luciano a 64% favorite over Marina Spasić in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (57%).

Stephanie Luciano holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1634 to 1587, a 47-point edge.

Stephanie Luciano enters on a 2-fight win streak.

Marina Spasić finishes 86% of wins inside the distance, Stephanie Luciano 50%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.