Marina Spasić vs Michele Oliveira
Records, Elo, stats and the Combat Edge model read, side by side.
Combat Edge model read
Michele Oliveira53%
Marina Spasić 47%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Michele Oliveira a 53% favorite over Marina Spasić in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1587 vs 1588), separated by just 1 points.
Marina Spasić finishes 86% of wins inside the distance, Michele Oliveira 67%.
Marina Spasić and Michele Oliveira share 1 common opponent: Stephanie Luciano.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.
Tale of the tape
7-2-0Record6-2-0
StrawweightDivisionStrawweight
5'5"Height5'4"
64"Reach64.2"
115 lbsWeight115 lbs
Borilački klub CDS Novi SadTeamNova Uniao
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+24→ 1611
If they lose-24→ 1563
If they win+24→ 1612
If they lose-24→ 1564
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1497 · 9 fightsPre-fight Elo1510 · 8 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Marina SpasićMichele Oliveira