Combat Edge Intelligence

Marina Spasić vs Stephanie Luciano

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

7-1-0Record7-2-1
StrawweightDivisionStrawweight
5'5"Height5'6"
-Reach65"
115 lbsWeight115 lbs
Borilački klub CDS Novi SadTeamGordin Fight Team

What's at stake

Marina Spasić is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +23 while a loss costs more — Stephanie Luciano carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Marina SpasićNow 1620
If they win+23→ 1643
If they lose-25→ 1595
Stephanie LucianoNow 1605
If they win+25→ 1630
If they lose-23→ 1582

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1489 · 8 fightsPre-fight Elo1544 · 9 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
5.20
TBD
Strike accuracy
43%
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.04
TBD
Strike defense
65%
TBD
Takedown avg.
1.30
TBD
Takedown accuracy
0%
TBD
Takedown defense
81%
TBD
Submission avg.
0.26

Trajectory

Marina SpasićStephanie Luciano
1550160016502023202420252026

Win method breakdown

6 (86%)
KO/TKO
2 (29%)
0 (0%)
Submission
1 (14%)
1 (14%)
Decision
4 (57%)

Combat Edge model read

Marina Spasić60%
Stephanie Luciano 40%Elo baseline: 52%

The Combat Edge model makes Marina Spasić a 60% favorite over Stephanie Luciano in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (52%).

Marina Spasić holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1620 to 1605, a 15-point edge.

Marina Spasić finishes 86% of wins inside the distance, Stephanie Luciano 43%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.